U.S. stocks clawed back earlier losses to end higher Thursday, limiting declines to two days, as investors digested the Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening plans, while yields on longer dated Treasuries rose.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose 87.06 points, or 0.3%, to close at 34,583.57.
The S&P 500
gained 19.05 points, or 0.4%, finishing at 4,500.21.
The Nasdaq Composite
rose 8.48 points, or 0.1%, ending at 13,897.30.
On Wednesday, the Dow fell 145 points, or 0.4%, while the S&P 500 lost 1% and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.2%. The S&P 500 closed below its 200-day average and is down 6% on the year.
What drove markets
Stock indexes staged a comeback Thursday afternoon as investors digested minutes from the March Federal Open Market Committee meeting, released Wednesday, showing the central bank weighing a plan to reduce its bond holdings by $95 billion per month as it tries to stamp out surging inflation.
“I think it’s largely a psychological market reaction today,” said John Carey, director of equity income at Amundi US, of the afternoon turnaround.
“One the one hand, the more aggressive Federal Reserve stance on interest rates would seem to be a potential problem for stocks,” he said by phone. “Although, the aggressiveness also indicates the Fed’s seriousness about tackling inflation.”
“Maybe if the Fed is more aggressive and tackles inflation, then we might not need to have high interest rates,” he said.
Rates analysts at Bank of America said the 10-year yield
could reach 3%, even though they see fair value in the 2.05% to 2.7% range. The yield was back on the rise Thursday at 2.654%, its highest yield since March 6, 2019, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
“Right now, the market is going through a bit of turbulence,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market strategist at Spartan Capital Securities, by phone.
“Even though the market doesn’t like the tough talk, it is important because the Fed is behind the yield curve. So they need to basically make sure inflation doesn’t get out of hand.”
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard on Thursday dismissed talk of recession, saying that the U.S. expansion “is not ‘old’ and can continue for a long time.” Bullard has called for the Fed to raise interest rates swiftly to counter inflation, saying he wants to get the Fed’s benchmark interest rate above 3% this year.
Investors next will be waiting on updates on inflation, including next week’s U.S. consumer-price index report for March, but also from companies as the quarterly earnings reporting season kicks off in earnest.
“We will be looking for any signs that consumer demand is decreasing as a result of higher prices,” Carey said, but also for “any effects on the housing market with higher rates.”
In economic data, the U.S. Labor Department said first-time jobless claims dropped by 5,000 to 166,000 in week ended April 12, the lowest since 1968.
Which companies were in focus?
After an extension of the federal student loan moratorium, SoFi Technologies Inc.
trimmed its outlook for the full fiscal year Wednesday, with executives now assuming the moratorium lasts at least through the rest of the year. Shares lost 7.2%.
How other assets performed
The ICE U.S. Dollar Index
was off 0.8% at $43,425.
—Steven Goldstein contributed reporting